{"id":20096,"date":"2018-03-19T07:10:22","date_gmt":"2018-03-18T20:40:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/?p=20096"},"modified":"2018-03-19T07:13:32","modified_gmt":"2018-03-18T20:43:32","slug":"neg-modelling-renewables-mb0509","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/neg-modelling-renewables-mb0509\/","title":{"rendered":"Business As Usual Trumps National Energy Guarantee"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_20097\" style=\"width: 710px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20097\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20097\" src=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/emissions-neg-renewables.jpg\" alt=\"Do nothing better than National Energy Guarantee\" width=\"700\" height=\"443\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/emissions-neg-renewables.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/emissions-neg-renewables-300x190.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-20097\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Image: <a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/en\/pollution-factory-industry-smoke-2575166\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Pixource<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p>With Labor out of the way in South Australia, a barrier to the adoption of the National Energy Guarantee (NEG) has been removed. But it remains Australia may be better served in terms of emissions reduction without it.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>In order for the National Energy Guarantee to proceed, it will require unanimous support at COAG. South Australian Labor was opposed to the NEG from the get-go, so while it remained in power it was likely to never make prime time.<\/p>\n<p>In November last year, then-Energy Minister Tom Koutsantonis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/coag-meeting-neg-mb0326\/\">said<\/a> the NEG &#8220;is either years away, or won\u2019t happen at all.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Labor&#8217;s ousting and what that means for renewable energy in South Australia generally is something that SQ blogger Ronald will cover in more detail very soon. While the turn of events on the weekend removes a thorn from the Federal Government&#8217;s side with regard to getting the NEG over the line, whether it should be implemented at all has been questioned again.<\/p>\n<p>Energy and emissions advisory firm Reputex <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reputex.com\/research-insights\/modelling-the-interaction-between-the-neg-and-state-ret-schemes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">states<\/a> initial modelling of the NEG is likely to have understated renewable energy investment under current policy. This initial modelling informed the Energy Security Board&#8217;s &#8220;do nothing&#8221; scenario.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;When expected investment at the state-level is considered, modelling indicates that the government\u2019s proposed emissions target for the electricity sector will be exceeded under \u2018do nothing\u2019 scenario \u2013 without the NEG,&#8221; states Reputex.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>South Australia had a renewable energy target of 50% by 2025, which was to be boosted to 75% by 2025 if Labor was returned to office. But even with newly-minted Premier Steven Marshall making good on his pledge to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stevenmarshall.com.au\/single_market_renewable_energy_target\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">abandon<\/a> the state&#8217;s target, SA is already close to achieving the 50% well ahead of schedule.<\/p>\n<p>In February, Green Energy Markets\u2018 Tristan Edis <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/sa-renewables-reactions-mb0474\/\">said<\/a> SA could reach 75% renewables without the target, largely thanks to GFG Alliances\u2019 Sanjeev Gupta\u2019s vision for Whyalla and local renewables.<\/p>\n<p>The SA situation aside, Reputex points out when Queensland and Victoria&#8217;s renewable energy targets are taken into consideration, modelling indicates that around 8 GW of new renewable capacity is expected to enter the market by 2030. This is 8GW that has been &#8220;effectively ignored&#8221; by the ESB analysis <a href=\"http:\/\/reneweconomy.com.au\/new-analysis-shows-neg-worse-nothing-34458\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">says<\/a> RenewEconomy&#8217;s Giles Parkinson in commentary on Reputex&#8217;s findings.<\/p>\n<h2>More Danger Signs For The &#8220;Solar Rebate&#8221;?<\/h2>\n<p>Mr. Parkinson states that a &#8220;do nothing&#8221; scenario with the ignored capacity factored in would achieve 29 per cent emissions reduction, while the NEG is designed to achieved a reduction of 26 per cent.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Perhaps the only explanation for the Coalition\u2019s omission of this capacity is their assumption that the state-based schemes will be repealed, as it and ESB chair Kerry Schott are calling for, and that the SRES will be dumped or scaled back.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The SRES is the Small-scale Renewable Energy Scheme. Last week we reported Federal Energy Minister Josh Frydenberg has been pressured by backbenchers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/kelly-solar-subsidy-mb0498\/\">Craig Kelly<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/abbott-renewables-subsidies-mb0501\/\">Tony Abbott<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/small-scale-technology-percentage\/\">tinker with the STP<\/a> (Small-scale Technology Percentage), which could negatively impact Australia&#8217;s major <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/panels\/rebate\/\">solar subsidy<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With Labor out of the way in South Australia, a barrier to the adoption of the National Energy Guarantee (NEG) has been removed. But it remains Australia may be better served in terms of emissions reduction without it.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":20097,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[678],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-solar-battery-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.2 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Business As Usual Trumps National Energy Guarantee<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With Labor out of the way in SA, a barrier to National Energy Guarantee (NEG) has been removed. But it remains Australia may be better served in terms of emissions reduction without it.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/neg-modelling-renewables-mb0509\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Business As Usual Trumps National Energy Guarantee\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With Labor out of the way in SA, a barrier to National Energy Guarantee (NEG) has been removed. 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According to advice from the Energy Security Board (ESB), the Turnbull Government's proposed National Energy Guarantee will result in renewables making up between 28 and 36\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;General Solar &amp; Storage News&quot;","block_context":{"text":"General Solar &amp; Storage News","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-battery-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"National Energy Guarantee and solar power","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/solar-panel-rebate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/solar-panel-rebate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/solar-panel-rebate.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/solar-panel-rebate.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":23391,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/national-energy-guarantee-mb0701\/","url_meta":{"origin":20096,"position":3},"title":"National Energy Guarantee : Anything But Consensus","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"August 9, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victoria and the ACT lay their cards on the table concerning the National Energy Guarantee, meanwhile the Smart Energy Council fires a shot across the bows of the CEC over its stance. It's just one day out from an important meeting that will focus on Australia's energy future, and the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;General Solar &amp; Storage News&quot;","block_context":{"text":"General Solar &amp; Storage News","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-battery-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"National Energy Guarantee fight continues","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/national-energy-guarantee.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/national-energy-guarantee.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/national-energy-guarantee.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/national-energy-guarantee.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":15962,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/poll-renewable-energy-mb0256\/","url_meta":{"origin":20096,"position":4},"title":"Picking Energy Winners In Australia &#8211; Latest Poll Results","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"October 19, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The Turnbull Government claims it's not picking winners when it comes to energy, but Australian voters have - and a winner is renewables. 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