{"id":34346,"date":"2019-10-24T08:29:34","date_gmt":"2019-10-23T21:59:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/?p=34346"},"modified":"2019-10-24T09:32:58","modified_gmt":"2019-10-23T23:02:58","slug":"ireland-australia-renewables-aemo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/ireland-australia-renewables-aemo\/","title":{"rendered":"A Look At The Irish Hints To How AEMO Might Manage Australia\u2019s Renewables Transition"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_34368\" style=\"width: 1210px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34368\" class=\"wp-image-34368 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/aemo-ireland.jpg\" alt=\"Transitioning Australia to more wind and solar energy - AEMO\" width=\"1200\" height=\"628\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/aemo-ireland.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/aemo-ireland-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/aemo-ireland-768x402.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/10\/aemo-ireland-1024x536.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-34368\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Worried that Australia&#8217;s grid will collapse with too many renewables? Ireland has shown &#8211; as long as we have a carefully &#8216;staged transition&#8217; &#8211; the risks are manageable.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) is trying to understand what might be what it calls the \u201cupper limits\u201d of wind and solar energy deployment into the Australian grid. In a report published this week, it has presented the first stage of its Renewable Integration Study.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The report (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aemo.com.au\/-\/media\/Files\/Electricity\/NEM\/Security_and_Reliability\/Future-Energy-Systems\/2019\/AEMO-RIS-International-Review-Oct-19.pdf\">PDF<\/a>) compared Australia\u2019s renewable integration to international markets; analyses system aspects specific to wind and solar energy (variability, frequency control, and distributed energy resource growth), and takes a good hard look in the crystal ball for the National Energy Market (NEM) over the next decade. The NEM analysis, AEMO wrote, has to take into account \u201cthe more localised limits to wind and solar PV penetration (for example, network congestion and localised system strength)\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>On the international stage, AEMO reckons there are some parts of Australia that lead the world in renewable deployment, but that we need to learn from overseas markets to achieve the \u201cvisibility, predictability, and controllability\u201d needed to integrate systems like rooftop solar power into the grid (as we\u2019ve\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/dynamic-solar-exports-sa\/\">discussed previously<\/a>, energy providers like SA Power are well aware of the challenges).<\/p>\n<p>At the summary level, AEMO highlighted international experience in \u201cthe assessment of system ramping requirements and fleet capability\u201d, in frequency management and inertia control in high renewable scenarios.<\/p>\n<p>And, as our friends over at Renew Economy\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/reneweconomy.com.au\/aemo-hints-at-staged-transition-as-it-seeks-to-define-limits-of-wind-and-solar-92467\/\">highlighted<\/a>, the report also hints that AEMO is interested in which it calls a \u201cstaged approach\u201d to bringing \u201cless synchronous\u201d generation online.<\/p>\n<p>Most of the challenges raised by AEMO &#8211; frequency management, variability, voltage management, and DER integration &#8211; are fairly well known, so I\u2019m going to drill into what AEMO has in mind when it talks about the \u201cstaged transition\u201d.<\/p>\n<h2>When The Transition Goes Wrong<\/h2>\n<p>Its international examples are:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Great Britain and Ireland, where the approach to generation protection \u201ccreated a risk of a co-ordinated loss of generation that could collapse the system\u201d;<\/li>\n<li>Germany, which is having to retrofit \u201chundreds of thousands\u201d of inverters to get the visibility it needs; the general problem of DER systems disconnecting themselves if there\u2019s a system disturbance; and<\/li>\n<li>South Australia\u2019s notorious and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/australian-politicians-confuse-wind-power-powerful-winds\/\">widely-misunderstood blackout<\/a>, partly because wind farm protection settings took them offline \u201cafter experiencing a number of successive voltage dips\u201d.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Ireland\u2019s EirGrid is the only staged transition AEMO cited, so that gives us the best insight into AEMO\u2019s thinking. In deciding how to relax its operational limits, the report says, EirGrid uses the following process:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Detailed analysis leading to a report outlining a provisional operating strategy;<\/li>\n<li>If an Operation Policy Review Committee accepts the report, it will give approval, setting out the \u201coperational defensive measures\u201d it requires (which might include \u201cnew control centre tools, policies, and mitigating key risks\u201d);<\/li>\n<li>EirGrid confirms stable operation, and if that\u2019s not achieved, it will revert to its previous official policy;<\/li>\n<li>After around three months &#8211; 100 hours of running &#8211; \u201cex post sensitivity studies are completed to analyse system resilience\u201d; and<\/li>\n<li>The OPRC determines the success of the trial.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cAustralia can learn from the staged transition Ireland has taken to relax power system limits, particularly in areas where Australia is leading the world, such as low system strength. This could include taking a precautionary approach (such as holding extra reserves as insurance) for a period (for example, one year) while the system is operated closer to its limits (for example, with fewer synchronous generators online) to build experience and confidence, before accepting those conditions as a new norm.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h2>Is There Ever Too Much?<\/h2>\n<p>What\u2019s most encouraging about the report is that it\u2019s a pretty emphatic statement of confidence Australia\u2019s electricity sector can manage a transition to much higher renewable energy penetration. That\u2019s in stark contrast to repeated statements by too many non-expert commentators about what happens when (all together) the \u201cwind doesn\u2019t blow and the sun doesn\u2019t shine\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>AEMO seems to reckon that if things are managed well, high DER penetration is feasible &#8211; but how high? The report again cited EirGrid, which in its \u201c2010 All-Island study\u201d (PDF\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.eirgridgroup.com\/site-files\/library\/EirGrid\/Facilitation-of-Renewables-Report.pdf\">here<\/a>) used a simple ratio as a proxy operational metric: \u201cSystem Non-Synchronous Penetration (SNSP) &#8230; the ratio of generation from wind and HVDC imports to demand and HVDC exports\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Back in 2010 when it conducted that study, EirGrid could already operate at 50% green power, but felt 75% was its upper limit.<\/p>\n<p>Times change, though, and the Irish grid told AEMO these days, with the \u201cevolution of technology and understanding\u201d, higher penetration is both supportable and targeted for the next decade. To date, EirCom reckons its SNSP limit \u201cwas responsible for less than 1% curtailment of available wind energy\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>AEMO didn\u2019t nominate what limits it believes exist in the Australian context &#8211; that will form part of a final report due in the first quarter of next year. Let&#8217;s hope it takes the big dare, and looks at what a 100% renewable grid might look like!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) is trying to understand what might be what it calls the \u201cupper limits\u201d of wind and solar energy deployment into the Australian grid. In a report published this week, it has presented the first stage of its Renewable Integration Study.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":34368,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34346","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-solar-policy","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.4 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ireland Shows AEMO How To Safely Transition To A Mostly Renewable Grid<\/title>\n<meta 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