{"id":6652,"date":"2016-07-04T11:24:06","date_gmt":"2016-07-04T00:54:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/?p=6652"},"modified":"2024-10-04T06:55:15","modified_gmt":"2024-10-03T21:25:15","slug":"election-2016-solar-safe-nick-xenophons-team-supports","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/election-2016-solar-safe-nick-xenophons-team-supports\/","title":{"rendered":"Election 2016. Solar is safe only if Nick Xenophon’s Team supports it."},"content":{"rendered":"
\"marcom

Turnbull’s submission to the right on issues such as renewable\u00a0energy has not worked out so well for him.<\/p><\/div>\n

Ah yes. Turnbull\u2019s big gamble of calling a double dissolution election to regain control of policy looks like it\u2019s failed. And failed miserably. Not only has the Coalition been stymied in its attempt to gain control of the Senate, it hasn\u2019t yet been confirmed as having enough seats to govern in its own right in the Lower House.<\/p>\n

For the solar industry this is most likely good news. \u00a0A Liberal controlled upper and lower house would almost certainly have resulted in\u00a0another attempt to kill the Renewable Energy Target, and with it the solar rebate<\/a>. That is unlikely\u00a0to happen now.<\/p>\n

Will the new senate block anti-renewable legislation?<\/h2>\n

Using The Guardian’s nifty senate majority calculator we can see that it will be very hard to get anti renewable legislation through the senate, unless Nick Xenophon votes with the Coalition.<\/p>\n

Looking at the energy policies of\u00a0One Nation\u00a0(hilarious – well worth a read), Jacqui Lambie and The Liberal Democrats, we can definitely put them in the Anti-Renewables column, along with the Coalition.<\/p>\n

And we can definitely count on\u00a0Labor and The Greens\u00a0voting to block anti-renewable bills.<\/p>\n

Worst Case Scenario – NXT vote\u00a0to cripple or kill the RET<\/h2>\n

What we don’t know is how NXT or the two unknown Senators will vote. Nick Xenophon has a moderately anti-renewable voting record<\/a>. And he’s well known for being anti-wind.<\/p>\n

If we put NXT\u00a0in the left hand column, we can see anti-renewable legislation being passed:<\/p>\n

\"senate

If NXT and the unknowns vote with the government, the RET and solar rebate could be toast. (calculator from the Guardian<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n

Renewables are\u00a0safe – if NXT votes for\u00a0them.<\/h2>\n

But if NXT vote for\u00a0renewables, then no matter what the unknown senators do – \u00a0renewables will be safe:<\/p>\n

\"senate

If NXT vote for renewables – they should be safe.<\/p><\/div>\n

If NXT go all anti renewable on us then we’d need both the unknowns in the right hand column\u00a0for renewables to be safe.<\/p>\n

The Lower House<\/h2>\n

Although the most likely scenario in the Lower House is a slender \u2014 or minority \u2014 Coalition victory, nothing is off the table and the electorate won\u2019t find out the final result until at least Tuesday.<\/p>\n

During the night (while flipping channels from Le Tour) I was most struck by the angry, bitter speech from the prime minister at 12.30 am who despite apparently winning, appeared to be regretting his decision to take the country to a vote. At a time when party leaders traditionally put aside differences to unite the country, the PM tore into the Labor party, seeming to wish to divide the country even further with a speech that was as shrill as it lacked humility.<\/p>\n

Was this the very definition of a Pyrrhic victory? Hasn\u2019t he got the message from the voters yet? Perhaps the tone was more a reflection of a man under threat of losing his job.<\/p>\n

Political guru Laurie Oakes for one, was not impressed<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Judge for yourself<\/a> if you were watching Le Tour at the time.<\/p>\n

My theory for this bitterness, bordering on white-hot anger from the under-fire PM, was that he now deeply regrets selling out his relatively progressive ideals for a shot at power. Betraying the people\u2019s trust in his relative open-mindedness has been for nothing it seems, almost certainly delivering Australia a more unstable government in the process for the next three years.<\/p>\n

Turnbull’s capitulation to the anti-renewables mob fails to pay off<\/h2>\n

Cast your minds back to September 2015 when Malcolm-in-the-Middle rolled one of the most unpopular and virulently anti-renewable prime ministers that ever pulled on a hi-vis vest. The replacement of Tony Abbott with Malcolm Turnbull struck an immediate chord with voters with Turnbull\u2019s approval ratings rocketing and his Coalition party\u2019s standings in opinion polls rising to winning levels not seen since before Tony.<\/p>\n

It seemed as if the installation of a progressive, central PM who was committed to such ideals as same-sex marriage, renewable energy and climate change would herald a new dawn in Australian politics. The nation, almost perceptively, breathed a collective sigh of relief. The Lib\/Nats went, as the saying goes, from feather duster to rooster almost overnight.<\/p>\n

How wrong we were as now-PM Turnbull decided to acquiesce to the anti-renewables right on almost every issue. From water policy to climate change, same-sex marriage and renewable energy. Even the republic. Malcolm Turnbull\u2019s government has been almost a carbon copy of his predecessor in style and policy. A disaster.<\/p>\n

This wasn\u2019t what we thought would happen when we cheered Malc’s\u00a0toppling of anti-renewable\u00a0Tony.<\/h2>\n

As a consequence of Turnbull’s\u00a0submission to the right wing, his popularity waned dramatically amongst the electorate. Instead of seeing him as a type of intelligent, progressively-inclined saviour of the nation, they now looked upon him as a better-dressed and wealthier version of Abbott.<\/p>\n

Turnbull\u2019s ploy, to sell out to the less progressive wing, has resulted in humiliation. My theory is that the angry speech demonstrates that he is regretting his sell out. The interest \u2014 or horror\u2014 of the coming term may be to see if Turnbull, if he stays as PM, will lurch further to the right or decide it’s not worth it and follow the Australian people on issues such as climate change and renewable energy. In other words a return to the Malcolm #1.<\/p>\n

<\/h2>\n

What are your thoughts on the make-up of the new parliament? Is the closeness of the votes in both Houses a good or bad thing for renewable energy policy? Do we really get the politicians we deserve? Am I being too harsh on Malcolm-Formerly-in-the-Middle? Where will the NXT clan vote on Renewables? Love to hear your points of view.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ah yes. Turnbull\u2019s big gamble of calling a double dissolution election to regain control of policy looks like it\u2019s failed. And failed miserably. Not only has the Coalition been stymied in its attempt to gain control of the Senate, it hasn\u2019t yet been confirmed as having enough seats to govern in its own right in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[54],"tags":[639,645,397,644],"class_list":["post-6652","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-solar-policy","tag-election-2016","tag-nick-xenophon","tag-politics","tag-renewables","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nElection 2016. 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Anyone who saw our PM\u2019s late night meltdown on national TV following the election last week saw a man whose game plan has been\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Solar Policy"","block_context":{"text":"Solar Policy","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-policy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"malcolm and a sun","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/turnbull-sun.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/turnbull-sun.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/turnbull-sun.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/turnbull-sun.jpg?resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/07\/turnbull-sun.jpg?resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6532,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/election-2016-renewables-roundup-week-7-brexit-edition\/","url_meta":{"origin":6652,"position":1},"title":"Election 2016: renewables roundup week #7 – the Brexit Edition","author":"Staff Writer","date":"June 27, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Well that was interesting wasn\u2019t it folks? Just as the Australian election was drifting off into the sunset, we get hit by the arrival of an enormous, loud and dangerous elephant in the room. I\u2019m talking of course of the surprise Brexit result where Brits voted to exit the European\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Solar Policy"","block_context":{"text":"Solar Policy","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-policy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"brexit text on solar","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/brexit-solar.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/brexit-solar.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/brexit-solar.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/brexit-solar.jpg?resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":6220,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/election-2016-renewables-roundup-week-4\/","url_meta":{"origin":6652,"position":2},"title":"Election 2016 \u2014 Renewables roundup Week #4","author":"Staff Writer","date":"June 6, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"As Election 2016 reaches the halfway point, it's time to consider a few possibilities in our weekly election renewables roundup. 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