{"id":93408,"date":"2025-07-26T07:05:07","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T21:35:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/?p=93408"},"modified":"2025-07-25T17:40:20","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T08:10:20","slug":"phase-shift-the-grid-death-spiral-is-bullshit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/phase-shift-the-grid-death-spiral-is-bullshit\/","title":{"rendered":"Phase Shift: The Grid Death Spiral is Bullshit"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"ASince the early days of rooftop solar, many Australian academics & commentators have warned of a grid death spiral<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Here’s how it was meant to play out:<\/p>\n

More homes get solar. Then batteries. They disconnect from the grid. That leaves fewer people paying to maintain it. Prices go up. More people bail. Eventually the last poor sod stuck on-grid gets a bill for thirty grand a quarter just to keep the lights on.<\/p>\n

Never happened.<\/p>\n

Won’t happen.<\/p>\n

Here’s What’s Happening Instead<\/h2>\n

People are buying massive batteries (typically 20-40kWh) now there’s a rebate<\/a>, but staying grid-connected. The grid makes their stored solar more valuable – if sold during peak prices via Amber or a good Virtual Power Plant (VPP)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

But it’s not all about money – a surprising number of Aussies (43%) value energy security more<\/a> and want to keep the grid as backup – the best backup they’ll ever get. For a bit over a dollar a day, they get effectively infinite backup capacity, with 99.98%1<\/a><\/sup> uptime, no hardware to maintain, no diesel to pump. Off-grid can’t touch that.<\/a><\/p>\n

\"A

Retaining a grid connection means you can export your stored solar for a tidy profit, although for most Australians the real value is the energy security it offers.<\/p><\/div>\n

Batteries Don’t Mean Rejecting The Grid<\/h2>\n

You want resilience? Keep the grid connection.<\/p>\n

I’ve been saying this for years. Hopefully with battery quotes going through the roof, the death spiral story can finally die.<\/p>\n

Now, about last week’s column , “Make Solar Panels Great Again”<\/a>. I made the case for taking control of your own bill. Some readers thought I was taking a swing at the grid. Not so. I like the grid. It’s the greatest shared infrastructure Australia has ever built. Buying solar and batteries doesn’t mean rejecting the grid. You can believe in autonomy and believe in the good of the network.<\/p>\n

When you add big solar, you reduce the need for midday grid imports. That helps your neighbours. When you oversize your system, you generate more on overcast days, and more early morning and late afternoon – when the grid needs it most.<\/p>\n

When you add a battery to the grid, you shave evening peak demand.<\/p>\n

When you join a VPP, you help shut down coal faster.<\/p>\n

With solar, battery and grid you get lower hardware costs, lower bills, blackout protection, and better returns. The grid gets stronger. Everyone wins.<\/p>\n

The Death Spiral Myth Is In A Death Spiral<\/h2>\n

So let’s bury the death spiral myth. The grid isn’t doomed, it’s more important than ever.<\/p>\n

With a well-sized solar and battery system, you’ll have your cake, and help feed the community too.<\/p>\n

Phase Shift is a weekly opinion column by SolarQuotes founder Finn Peacock. Subscribe to\u00a0SolarQuotes\u2019 free newsletter<\/a>\u00a0to get it emailed to your inbox each week along with our other home electrification coverage.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Since the early days of rooftop solar, many Australian academics & commentators have warned of a grid death spiral.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93409,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-93408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPhase Shift: The Grid Death Spiral is Bullshit<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Solar and battery uptake was supposed to trigger a grid death spiral. 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Mr. Morris says people who\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "General Solar & Storage News"","block_context":{"text":"General Solar & Storage News","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-battery-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Off grid factory video","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1344,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/grid-connected-solar-panels-with-battery-backup-aka-hybrid-solar\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":1},"title":"Grid Connected Solar Panels with Battery Backup (aka Hybrid Solar)","author":"Finn Peacock","date":"April 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Note: This post was written in 2012 and is way out of date. >>> Please read this post on solar batteries for the latest information. <<< A few weeks ago I blogged about my mate who really hates his electricity company. In fact he hates them so much he wanted\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Solar Installation"","block_context":{"text":"Solar Installation","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-installation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"A solar panel charging a battery","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/04\/battery_solar.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":55054,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/off-grid-solar-city-mb2201\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":2},"title":"Thinking Going Off-Grid In The City? Perhaps Think Again","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"October 20, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/dYPRxhIi5tA Many Australians are keen to cut ties with electricity companies by installing solar panels and batteries with view to taking their homes entirely off the grid. And who could blame them? The idea of energy independence is very attractive, but there are some very good reasons for keeping a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "General Solar & Storage News"","block_context":{"text":"General Solar & Storage News","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-battery-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Going off-grid in the city with solar energy and batteries","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/off-grid-city-solar.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/off-grid-city-solar.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/off-grid-city-solar.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/off-grid-city-solar.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/10\/off-grid-city-solar.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1981,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/do-you-really-want-to-go-off-the-grid-with-your-solar-power-system\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":3},"title":"Do you really want to go off the grid with your solar power system?","author":"Finn Peacock","date":"October 5, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Did you hear about the Queensland proposal a couple of weeks ago that proposed an 8c per kWh GROSS Feed In Tariff? That would mean Queenslanders would have to sell ALL their solar power to the retailers for 8c (yes - ALL of it - even the stuff that they\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Solar Installation"","block_context":{"text":"Solar Installation","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-installation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/smziNesnZJw\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":78151,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/solar-batteries-without-panels\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":4},"title":"Solar Batteries Without Solar Panels? No Sun, No Problem.","author":"Kim Wainwright","date":"August 22, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Solar panels and batteries might sound like a match made in energy heaven, but some people install batteries without solar panels. What gives? Let's explore the concept of charging solar batteries solely from the grid. \u00a0We'll look into the motivations behind this choice and the benefits, provide practical advice on\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Battery Storage"","block_context":{"text":"Battery Storage","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/battery-storage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Solar batteries charging from the grid","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/batteries-charging-from-the-grid.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/batteries-charging-from-the-grid.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/batteries-charging-from-the-grid.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/batteries-charging-from-the-grid.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/batteries-charging-from-the-grid.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":849,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/how-much-does-off-grid-solar-cost\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":5},"title":"How Much Does Off Grid Solar Cost?","author":"Finn Peacock","date":"January 12, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"I had a phone call from a mate today asking for advice on buying an off grid solar system for his new house in suburban Melbourne. He was pissed off about paying the daily grid connection charge when his solar system was easily going to produce more power than he\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Solar Panels"","block_context":{"text":"Solar Panels","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-panels-2\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"off grid solar system","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/01\/off-grid-solar.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93408"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93408\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93430,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93408\/revisions\/93430"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93409"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}