{"id":93408,"date":"2025-07-26T07:05:07","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T21:35:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/?p=93408"},"modified":"2025-07-25T17:40:20","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T08:10:20","slug":"phase-shift-the-grid-death-spiral-is-bullshit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/phase-shift-the-grid-death-spiral-is-bullshit\/","title":{"rendered":"Phase Shift: The Grid Death Spiral is Bullshit"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"ASince the early days of rooftop solar, many Australian academics & commentators have warned of a grid death spiral<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Here’s how it was meant to play out:<\/p>\n

More homes get solar. Then batteries. They disconnect from the grid. That leaves fewer people paying to maintain it. Prices go up. More people bail. Eventually the last poor sod stuck on-grid gets a bill for thirty grand a quarter just to keep the lights on.<\/p>\n

Never happened.<\/p>\n

Won’t happen.<\/p>\n

Here’s What’s Happening Instead<\/h2>\n

People are buying massive batteries (typically 20-40kWh) now there’s a rebate<\/a>, but staying grid-connected. The grid makes their stored solar more valuable – if sold during peak prices via Amber or a good Virtual Power Plant (VPP)<\/a>.<\/p>\n

But it’s not all about money – a surprising number of Aussies (43%) value energy security more<\/a> and want to keep the grid as backup – the best backup they’ll ever get. For a bit over a dollar a day, they get effectively infinite backup capacity, with 99.98%1<\/a><\/sup> uptime, no hardware to maintain, no diesel to pump. Off-grid can’t touch that.<\/a><\/p>\n

\"A

Retaining a grid connection means you can export your stored solar for a tidy profit, although for most Australians the real value is the energy security it offers.<\/p><\/div>\n

Batteries Don’t Mean Rejecting The Grid<\/h2>\n

You want resilience? Keep the grid connection.<\/p>\n

I’ve been saying this for years. Hopefully with battery quotes going through the roof, the death spiral story can finally die.<\/p>\n

Now, about last week’s column , “Make Solar Panels Great Again”<\/a>. I made the case for taking control of your own bill. Some readers thought I was taking a swing at the grid. Not so. I like the grid. It’s the greatest shared infrastructure Australia has ever built. Buying solar and batteries doesn’t mean rejecting the grid. You can believe in autonomy and believe in the good of the network.<\/p>\n

When you add big solar, you reduce the need for midday grid imports. That helps your neighbours. When you oversize your system, you generate more on overcast days, and more early morning and late afternoon – when the grid needs it most.<\/p>\n

When you add a battery to the grid, you shave evening peak demand.<\/p>\n

When you join a VPP, you help shut down coal faster.<\/p>\n

With solar, battery and grid you get lower hardware costs, lower bills, blackout protection, and better returns. The grid gets stronger. Everyone wins.<\/p>\n

The Death Spiral Myth Is In A Death Spiral<\/h2>\n

So let’s bury the death spiral myth. The grid isn’t doomed, it’s more important than ever.<\/p>\n

With a well-sized solar and battery system, you’ll have your cake, and help feed the community too.<\/p>\n

Phase Shift is a weekly opinion column by SolarQuotes founder Finn Peacock. Subscribe to\u00a0SolarQuotes\u2019 free newsletter<\/a>\u00a0to get it emailed to your inbox each week along with our other home electrification coverage.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Since the early days of rooftop solar, many Australian academics & commentators have warned of a grid death spiral.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":93409,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-93408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPhase Shift: The Grid Death Spiral is Bullshit<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Solar and battery uptake was supposed to trigger a grid death spiral. 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Buried in the latest Quarterly Energy Dynamics report is a comparison of 20,000 Australian homes that examines how households\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Battery Storage"","block_context":{"text":"Battery Storage","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/battery-storage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"AEMO imports exports report 2026","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/aemo-imports-exports-2026-report.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/aemo-imports-exports-2026-report.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/aemo-imports-exports-2026-report.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/aemo-imports-exports-2026-report.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/aemo-imports-exports-2026-report.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":30995,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/off-grid-solar-factory-mb1090\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":2},"title":"How To Take A Factory Off-Grid With Solar And Storage","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"June 11, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/youtu.be\/mfJQ8RHXSLQ SolarQuotes founder Finn Peacock chats with Glen Morris from SolarQuip about an interesting project involving taking a small factory off-grid with solar and storage using a very clever approach. 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Mr. Morris says people who\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "General Solar & Storage News"","block_context":{"text":"General Solar & Storage News","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-battery-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Off grid factory video","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/off-grid-factory.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100910,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/from-my-wardrobe-to-a-million-quotes-whats-changed-and-what-hasnt\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":3},"title":"From My Wardrobe To A Million Quotes: What’s Changed (And What Hasn’t)","author":"Finn Peacock","date":"August 3, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"This week SolarQuotes ticked over one million quote requests. 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I\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Solar Installation"","block_context":{"text":"Solar Installation","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-installation\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Solar panels on multiple roofs","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/one-million-quotes-solarquotes-2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/one-million-quotes-solarquotes-2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/one-million-quotes-solarquotes-2.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/one-million-quotes-solarquotes-2.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/one-million-quotes-solarquotes-2.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1344,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/grid-connected-solar-panels-with-battery-backup-aka-hybrid-solar\/","url_meta":{"origin":93408,"position":4},"title":"Grid Connected Solar Panels with Battery Backup (aka Hybrid Solar)","author":"Finn Peacock","date":"April 8, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Note: This post was written in 2012 and is way out of date. >>> Please read this post on solar batteries for the latest information. <<< A few weeks ago I blogged about my mate who really hates his electricity company. 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I was raised on rugby league.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Electricity Prices"","block_context":{"text":"Electricity Prices","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/electricity-prices\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"kids playing soccer","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/soccer-game.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/soccer-game.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/soccer-game.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/soccer-game.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/soccer-game.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/soccer-game.jpg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93408"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93408\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93430,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93408\/revisions\/93430"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93409"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}