{"id":96080,"date":"2025-11-19T09:04:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T23:34:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/?p=96080"},"modified":"2025-11-19T13:52:46","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T04:22:46","slug":"battery-rebate-funding-mb3316","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/battery-rebate-funding-mb3316\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis: Battery Rebate Funding Could Run Out Mid-2026\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"The<\/p>\n

Australia’s Cheaper Home Batteries Program (CHBP) is going gangbusters. So much so, updated SolarQuotes analysis suggests the subsidy party could be over *much* sooner rather than later without intervention. But there’s good news. <\/p>\n

How Much Funding Does The Battery Rebate Have?<\/h2>\n

The Cheaper Home Batteries Program<\/a> was originally launched with a commitment to $2.3 billion in funding. The program is supported through the federal government purchasing Small-Scale Technology Certificates (STCs) \u2014 on which the subsidy is based \u2014 to finance the rebates.<\/p>\n

How Many Batteries Have Been Installed?<\/h2>\n

Federal Minister for Climate Change and Energy Chris Bowen provided an update yesterday on installation numbers when delivering a speech to COP30 in Belem, Brazil.<\/p>\n

“… over 125,000 households have now installed batteries since 1 July, thanks to our Cheaper Home Batteries program,” Bowen said<\/a>. “That’s 1000 households each and every day installing a battery.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Well, very close to it anyway. But back on November 1, the Minister put the tally at just over 108,000; so the rate over the last couple of weeks would be around 1,000 a day.<\/p>\n

While the Clean Energy Regulator’s figures<\/a> only show 90,546 systems, that’s for installations that are done, dusted and STCs have been issued up until 31 October. It doesn’t include installed systems with STCs still pending \u2014 which I assume Minister Bowen is factoring in.<\/p>\n

\"Minister

Minister Bowen promoting Labor’s Cheaper Home Batteries program earlier this year.<\/p><\/div>\n

How Long Will The Battery Rebate Last?<\/h2>\n

According to updated analysis carried out by SolarQuotes’ resident fact-checker, Ronald Brakels<\/a>:<\/p>\n

“Using the 90,546 installs in the first 4 months costing ~$678 million, then the scheme will last a total of 13.6 months and end some time around the middle of August next year. This assumes all the $2.3 billion goes in rebates and there are no administration or other costs.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

But Bowen’s 125,000+ installs so far is 21% higher.<\/p>\n

“Using his figure, with the same assumption that the money all goes to rebates, the scheme will last a total of 11.2 months and end in early June next year.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

If installations next year average 20% higher than they have so far, which definitely seems possible, then the first $2.3 billion will run out after a little more than 10 months and will be gone sometime in May.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

In the very early days of the scheme before it became apparent just how popular it would be, Ronald’s initial number-crunching found the CHBP could run out of money by early 2028<\/a> \u2014 still well before the program\u2019s planned 2030 end date \u2014 unless adjustments were made.<\/p>\n

But in addition to the tsunami of installations that followed, something else that’s also happened is average useable capacity<\/a> of batteries is increasing, and the level of rebate is pegged to useable battery capacity.<\/p>\n

Ronald’s original calculations were based on an average 17 kWh useable capacity per system, which was already higher than the average pre-rebate. But based on recent data from the Clean Energy Regulator, average capacity over the short life of the program so far is 20 kWh; and likely still increasing.<\/p>\n

Changes to the program are now looking far more urgent in order to sustain it.<\/p>\n

What Changes Can Be Made To Extend It?<\/h2>\n

Well, more funding for one – and that’s quite possible. Smart Energy Council CEO John Grimes recently stated<\/a>:<\/p>\n

“The good news is that this program is uncapped. That means $2.3 billion is the first payment, not the last payment.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

But let’s say it is, or the program needs to be reined in further beyond the already scheduled annual rebate reduction<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Ronald says:<\/p>\n

“One way to stretch out the federal battery rebate is to reduce the battery capacity that receives STCs. The number could be cut in half from 50 to 25kWh, while doing little harm to typical households. But the maximum that can be installed should be kept at 100kWh, since we don’t want to discourage people from installing more if they want.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

But there are advantages to people installing large 40-50 kWh home batteries. These big batteries can keep homes powered through long periods of bad weather without any need to draw on grid power at a time when the grid may be under stress.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Treading Carefully<\/h2>\n

Ronald warns too much tinkering with the CHBP could have negative results.<\/p>\n

“Making the scheme more complex to try to encourage the installation of perfect battery systems can do more harm than good,” he says. “Done poorly, it could increase the number of ways the rules could be abused. We may get better results just by requiring installers to inform homeowners of drawbacks of doing things such as installing a huge battery capacity with a small inverter<\/a>.”<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Don’t Panic!<\/h2>\n

While Ronald’s updated analysis may trigger some potential battery buyers to get a wriggle on; it’s a significant purchase that shouldn’t be rushed into. It’s not just your cash at risk, but also the safety of your household \u2014 and it’s an acquisition you’ll be living with for a long time for better or for worse; so ensure it’s the former.<\/p>\n

At this point, it’s unlikely you’ll be able to get a system installed over the next couple of months anyway as installers are flat out. It’s an opportunity learn everything you need to know about choosing the right home battery (and installer)<\/a>. And to stay up to date with what’s happening, subscribe to the SolarQuotes weekly newsletter<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Australia’s Cheaper Home Batteries Program (CHBP) is going gangbusters. So much so, updated SolarQuotes analysis suggests the subsidy party could be over *much* sooner rather than later without intervention. But there’s good news.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":96081,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[551],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-96080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-battery-storage","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAnalysis: Battery Rebate Funding Could Run Out Mid-2026\u00a0<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Australia's Cheaper Home Batteries Program is going gangbusters. 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He's been reporting on Australian and international solar energy news ever since.","url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/author\/michael\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/battery-rebate-funding.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p2FF2s-oZG","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":69825,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/canberra-battery-rebate-mb2787\/","url_meta":{"origin":96080,"position":0},"title":"Canberra’s Battery Rebate Bids Goodbye","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"January 12, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"After reaching its installation target, the ACT Government\u2019s Next Generation Energy Storage (Next Gen) program has ended. Established in 2016, the program had a goal of supporting the installation of 5,000 batteries in homes and businesses throughout the ACT.\u00a0 Just prior to the program's closure, the rebate for home batteries\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "General Solar & Storage News"","block_context":{"text":"General Solar & Storage News","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/solar-battery-news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Canberra battery subsidy","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/next-gen-battery-rebate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/next-gen-battery-rebate.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/next-gen-battery-rebate.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/next-gen-battery-rebate.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/next-gen-battery-rebate.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":93416,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/federal-battery-rebate-on-track-to-run-out-of-funding\/","url_meta":{"origin":96080,"position":1},"title":"Federal Battery Rebate On Track To Run Out Of Funding","author":"Max Opray","date":"July 29, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Extraordinary uptake in response to the federal battery rebate means the scheme is likely to chew through its announced $2.3bn funding pool well ahead of schedule. SolarQuotes can reveal that the Albanese government has earmarked additional funding, but this still doesn't make up the projected shortfall. Since the July 1\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Battery Storage"","block_context":{"text":"Battery Storage","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/battery-storage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/battery-rebate-funding-2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/battery-rebate-funding-2.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/battery-rebate-funding-2.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/battery-rebate-funding-2.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/battery-rebate-funding-2.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":97011,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/battery-installations-2025-mb3349\/","url_meta":{"origin":96080,"position":2},"title":"Home Battery Boom Smashes 2025 Forecasts: See The Numbers","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"January 2, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Installations in 2025 under the Albanese Government's Cheaper Home Batteries Program (CHBP) surpassed even some previous optimistic estimates. How Many Batteries Have Been Installed So Far Under CHBP? According to Federal Minister for Climate Change and Energy Chris Bowen: \"From 1 July to 31 December Australians have installed 184,672 home\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Battery Storage"","block_context":{"text":"Battery Storage","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/battery-storage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Home battery installations - 2025","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/battery-installations-2025.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/battery-installations-2025.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/battery-installations-2025.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/battery-installations-2025.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/battery-installations-2025.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":96518,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/home-battery-rebate-changes-mb3332\/","url_meta":{"origin":96080,"position":3},"title":"Runaway Home Battery Rebate Forces Rethink","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"December 11, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The success of the Albanese Government's home battery rebate is piling pressure on the program's funding and policy settings. A Smart Energy Council meeting yesterday tackled what could be needed to keep it going until its originally intended end date. How Much Cheaper Home Batteries Funding Is Available? The Cheaper\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Battery Storage"","block_context":{"text":"Battery Storage","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/battery-storage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Australian home battery rebate changes needed","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":96616,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/battery-rebate-values-mb3334\/","url_meta":{"origin":96080,"position":4},"title":"Home Battery Rebate Reduction: See The Impact\u00a0","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"December 15, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Subsidies for Australia's Cheaper Home Batteries Program (CHBP) are being adjusted to ensure the program's ongoing viability out to the intended finish date. We take a look at the impact the rebate reduction will have on financial support for some popular home storage systems. How Much Will The Battery Rebate\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Battery Storage"","block_context":{"text":"Battery Storage","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/battery-storage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Chris Bowen - home battery rebates","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-australia.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-australia.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-australia.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-australia.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-australia.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":97197,"url":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wa-battery-installations-mb3356\/","url_meta":{"origin":96080,"position":5},"title":"WA Home Battery Installation Tally Soars","author":"Michael Bloch","date":"January 13, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The home battery installation count in Western Australia is rapidly increasing, as too is the national total according to an update from Federal Minister for Climate Change and Energy Chris Bowen. How Many Home Batteries Installed In Western Australia? Since the formal launch of the Cheaper Home Batteries Program (CHBP)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Battery Storage"","block_context":{"text":"Battery Storage","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/category\/battery-storage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Home battery installations in Western Australia.","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/wa-battery-installs.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/wa-battery-installs.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/wa-battery-installs.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/wa-battery-installs.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/wa-battery-installs.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=96080"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96080\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":96112,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96080\/revisions\/96112"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/96081"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=96080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=96080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=96080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}