{"id":96518,"date":"2025-12-11T05:00:47","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T19:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/?p=96518"},"modified":"2025-12-16T09:27:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T23:57:35","slug":"home-battery-rebate-changes-mb3332","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/home-battery-rebate-changes-mb3332\/","title":{"rendered":"Runaway Home Battery Rebate Forces Rethink"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-96519\" src=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes.jpg\" alt=\"Australian home battery rebate changes needed\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes-300x158.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes-1024x538.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-rebate-changes-768x403.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The success of the Albanese Government&#8217;s home battery rebate is piling pressure on the program&#8217;s funding and policy settings. A Smart Energy Council meeting yesterday tackled what could be needed to keep it going until its originally intended end date.<!--more--><\/p>\n<h2>How Much Cheaper Home Batteries Funding Is Available?<\/h2>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/battery-storage\/federal-rebate\/\">Cheaper Home Batteries Program<\/a> (CHBP) was originally launched with a commitment to $2.3 billion in funding. Given the massive uptake, recently updated SolarQuotes analysis indicates that could <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/battery-rebate-funding-mb3316\/\">run out in early June next year<\/a>; well before the program&#8217;s 2030 end. However, <a href=\"https:\/\/smartenergy.org.au\/\"> Smart Energy Council<\/a> CEO John Grimes recently pointed out the program is uncapped.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;That means $2.3 billion is the first payment, not the last payment,&#8221; he said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>But a blank check under current settings and consumer response isn&#8217;t realistic either.<\/p>\n<p>UPDATE: an additional $4.9bn has been allocated to the scheme, along with a host of rule changes. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/federal-battery-rebate-changes-revealed\/\">Read a full rundown here.<\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Big Batteries Blowing Budget<\/h2>\n<p>It&#8217;s not just the huge number of systems being installed creating pressure on the battery rebate \u2014 it&#8217;s their capacity, as useable capacity is tied to the level of rebate provided.<\/p>\n<p>In a Smart Energy Council member meeting yesterday discussing the issues \u2014 attended by SolarQuotes Editor <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/max\/\">Max Opray<\/a> and resident fact-checker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/ronald\/\">Ronald Brakels<\/a> \u2014 the organisation&#8217;s Chief Advocacy Officer David McElrea said the average battery size installed since October is probably around 28 kWh. That&#8217;s a big jump compared to installations last year that averaged 10 &#8211; 12 kWh.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;More and more batteries are larger sizes,&#8221; he said. &#8220;This is not a bad thing in and of itself \u2026 for the network, provided the inverter is the right size and there\u2019s the right number of solar panels, large batteries could provide that broad stability. But from the federal government\u2019s perspective, they\u2019re paying an increased amount out-of-pocket for larger batteries. It\u2019s clear they didn\u2019t anticipate battery size would increase as quickly as it has.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And obviously neither did the Smart Energy Council, which has played an important role in advising the government on the design and implementation of the CHBP.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cAustralia is now the largest residential battery market in the world, thanks to the government\u2019s foresight.\u201d said Nigel Morris, Smart Energy Council Chief Strategy Officer. &#8220;Uptake of the program exceeded everybody\u2019s wildest and most optimistic projections \u2026 placing obvious pressure on project funding.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-96521\" src=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-uptake-graph.png\" alt=\"Home battery installation uptake across Australia's National Electricity Market\" width=\"579\" height=\"523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-uptake-graph.png 660w, https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/battery-uptake-graph-300x271.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 579px) 100vw, 579px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>What Does The Smart Energy Council Want?<\/h2>\n<p>The Smart Energy Council said its priorities for the scheme are:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The allocation of additional money.<\/li>\n<li>No abrupt or unforeseen changes.<\/li>\n<li>Avoiding a boom\/bust cycle for the industry.<\/li>\n<li>Stable policy settings.<\/li>\n<li>For more consumers to benefit from more batteries in homes.<\/li>\n<li>Maintaining high standards of consumer protection.<\/li>\n<li>A politically and financially sustainable program.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The organisation was keen to emphasise if there are changes, sufficient notice must be given to industry. Installers are in many cases booked out to March, sometimes to April. Wholesalers have ordered stock; so there&#8217;s a risk of stranded assets if changes are harsh. The Council also wants some price stability for customers to the extent possible.<\/p>\n<h2>What Rebate Changes Were Discussed?<\/h2>\n<p>The Smart Energy Council considers the first and most obvious change that could be made is the rebate might need to reduce. They expect the rebate could drop more than planned over the coming years and have made an educated guess of around $100 less estimated value per kWh than in 2025.<\/p>\n<h3>Original Proposed Rebate Reduction Schedule<\/h3>\n<p>The rebate was always intended to gradually reduce over the years ahead in line with the following provisional schedule. But it was made clear the original levels may need to be tweaked depending on how the program fared.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr class=\"table-title\" style=\"background-color: #24388b; color: white; font-size: 1em; font-weight: bold; text-align: center;\">\n<th>Year<\/th>\n<th>\u00a0Value\/ kWh<\/th>\n<th>STC factor<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><b>2025<\/b><\/td>\n<td>$372<\/td>\n<td>9.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>2026<\/b><\/td>\n<td>$336<\/td>\n<td>8.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>2027<\/b><\/td>\n<td>$296<\/td>\n<td>7.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>2028<\/b><\/td>\n<td>$260<\/td>\n<td>6.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>2029<\/b><\/td>\n<td>$224<\/td>\n<td>5.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><b>2030<\/b><\/td>\n<td>$188<\/td>\n<td>4.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>Explainer:<\/b> In the table above, rebate value\/kWh (useable capacity of battery ) is estimated. &#8220;STCs&#8221; are Small-scale Technology Certificates; the units on which the rebate is based. Unlike the STCs for solar installations that are purchased by &#8220;liable entities&#8221; such as electricity retailers, the Albanese government is effectively buying STCs at a fixed price of $40 each through the STC Clearing House.<\/p>\n<p>To arrive at an estimated rebate figure before admin fees and charges, the STC factor is multiplied by $40, times useable battery capacity (up to first 50 kWh). But rather than doing a bit of mental gymnastics to get a subsidy estimate for a specific solar battery, try our super-simple <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/battery-storage\/federal-rebate\/calculator\/\">battery rebate calculator<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3>A &#8220;Sliding Scale&#8221; Alternative<\/h3>\n<p>Other than cutting values of the rebate, the meeting noted another option is to reduce the maximum size of battery eligible under the rebate, but the Smart Energy Council doesn\u2019t support that.<\/p>\n<p>At another point an alternative was put forward: a sliding scale with different tiers. It could be the full value of the rebate for a small battery, and less for medium-sized and large batteries.<\/p>\n<h2>Ronald&#8217;s Take<\/h2>\n<p>As mentioned, Ronald attended the meeting and here&#8217;s his view on the situation:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;Zero price batteries are bad. This goes for dirt cheap batteries too. They are bad because:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Because people are not paying the actual price, they have no incentive to not install the maximum, meaning other people potentially miss out.<\/li>\n<li>Others missing out is bad because 2 medium batteries benefits others more than one big fat one.<\/li>\n<li>When a range of batteries cost nothing, price no longer acts as an indicator of quality. It&#8217;s impossible to say if a battery is merely cheap, which could be desired by someone on a budget, or dirt cheap which may not be a good idea even if money is tight.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Reducing the STC amount per usable kWh is one option. Reducing the kWh cap will also reduce this problem, because, at the moment, it only happens with very large batteries.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>But, while two 2 homes with 25 kWh batteries is better for the grid than one home with 50 kWh, 2 homes with 40 kWh is even better. A cut to the cap can cause the new limit to become the ceiling in practice. So, in purely terms of economic efficiency, a lower STC amount is better than a lower cap.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Batteries are cheap to make in China. So we don&#8217;t want a system that encourages people to install 10 kWh when for just a few thousand more they could have had 30 kWh put in.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So, again, in terms of economic efficiency, an STC cut is better than a cap reduction. If people are going to get an installer to come out to their place and put in a battery, they may as well put in a big one while they&#8217;re at it.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>McElrea said that if the Federal Government is to change the rebate, organisations like the Smart Energy Council need to be on the front foot in advocating for appropriate changes.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cWe\u2019re worried that if we don\u2019t act, the patient will die on the operating table\u201d.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Things could change quickly. Stay up to date with what&#8217;s happening with the Cheaper Home Batteries Program by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solarquotes.com.au\/weekly-newsletter.html\">subscribing to the SolarQuotes weekly newsletter<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The success of the Albanese Government&#8217;s home battery rebate is piling pressure on the program&#8217;s funding and policy settings. A Smart Energy Council meeting yesterday tackled what could be needed to keep it going until its originally intended end date.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":96519,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[551],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-96518","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-battery-storage","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.2 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Runaway Home Battery Rebate Forces Rethink<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Success of the Albanese Government&#039;s home battery rebate piles pressure on the scheme&#039;s funding and policy settings. 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